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Bearish Belt Hold

Bearish Belt Hold

IntermediateCandlestick PatternsBearish (Down)Reliability 53%

Pattern Formation

6 / 6 candles
1,0551,0301,00598095593001/0101/0201/0301/0401/0501/06
Speed

Statistics

Target Hit Rate
50%
Average Move
7%
Failure Rate
26%
Avg Formation Days
1 days
Volume Confirmation Boost
+11%

Reference values based on Bulkowski's "Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns". Data is primarily from U.S. markets and may differ for other markets.

A single-candlestick pattern that appears during an uptrend. Price opens with a gap up, then the open equals the high, and selling drives the price down to form a large bearish candle. The absence of an upper shadow is characteristic, indicating that buyers were completely overwhelmed from the open. This is an early signal of a potential trend reversal.

Formation Conditions

  • Must appear within an uptrend or rising phase
  • Open must equal the high (no upper shadow)
  • Must be a bearish candle with a large body
  • Ideally opens above the previous day's close (gap up)
  • A shorter lower shadow increases reliability

Entry Condition

Enter short at the open of the next candle after the belt hold is confirmed, or when price drops below the belt hold's low.

Target Calculation

Project 1.5 to 2 times the body length downward from the low to determine the price target. Also reference nearby support lines.

Stop Loss Rule

Place a stop-loss slightly above the high of the belt hold (which equals its open).

Volume Profile

Increased volume during formation is important. Without volume confirmation, the probability of a false signal increases.

False Signal Detection

  • If the uptrend is too strong, it may end as a temporary pullback
  • Lack of volume increases the probability of a false signal
  • A break above the high on the following day indicates a failed signal
  • Less effective when trading against the higher timeframe trend
  • A small body diminishes the significance of the belt hold

Related Indicators

RSI (overbought confirmation)VolumeMoving averagesResistance line

Related Patterns

Bullish EngulfingBearish EngulfingDojiThree White Soldiers

Learn More

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