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Falling Three Methods

Falling Three Methods / 下降三法

IntermediateCandlestick PatternsBearish (Down)Reliability 74%

Pattern Formation

10 / 10 candles
1,0681,0511,0351,0181,00298501/0101/0201/0301/0401/0501/0601/0701/0801/0901/10
Speed

Statistics

Target Hit Rate
70%
Average Move
11%
Failure Rate
12%
Avg Formation Days
7 days
Volume Confirmation Boost
+15%

Reference values based on Bulkowski's "Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns". Data is primarily from U.S. markets and may differ for other markets.

A reliable bearish continuation pattern based on the traditional Sakata methods. After a large bearish candle, three small bullish candles form within its range, followed by another large bearish candle that closes below the first candle's close. It indicates that the downtrend continues after a temporary bounce (rebound).

Formation Conditions

  • A downtrend must precede the pattern
  • The first candle must be a large bearish candle
  • The second through fourth candles must be small bullish candles, all within the first candle's high-low range
  • The small bullish candles must rise progressively, forming a rebound
  • The fifth candle must be a large bearish candle closing below the first candle's close
  • Ideally, the fifth candle's close falls below the first candle's low

Entry Condition

Enter short at the next candle's open after the fifth large bearish candle confirms. Or enter when the fifth candle's close clearly falls below the first candle's low. Confirm the fifth candle's volume is at least equal to the first.

Target Calculation

First target: project the first bearish candle's range downward from the fifth candle's close. Or target the nearest support line. Second target: subtract the entire pattern range (middle candles' highest high minus fifth candle close).

Stop Loss Rule

Place a stop-loss slightly above the highest high of the three middle small candles. A tighter stop above the first bearish candle's open (high) is also possible. Skip the entry if risk-reward is not at least 1:2.

Volume Profile

Ideally, high volume on the first bearish candle with a notable decrease during the three small bullish candles. Volume should increase again on the fifth bearish candle to at least equal the first. High volume on the middle bullish candles indicates strong buying pressure that may break the continuation pattern.

False Signal Detection

  • If the middle candles break above the first bearish candle's range, the pattern is invalid
  • High volume on the middle candles compared to the first indicates strong buying pressure
  • If the fifth candle fails to close below the first candle's close, downward momentum is weak
  • After a prolonged downtrend, the pattern may appear near the trend's end
  • Near a major support line, downside may be limited

Related Indicators

VolumeMoving averagesRSIMACD

Related Patterns

Bullish EngulfingBearish EngulfingDojiThree White Soldiers

Learn More

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