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On Neck Line

On Neck Line / あて線

IntermediateCandlestick PatternsBearish (Down)Reliability 45%

Pattern Formation

11 / 11 candles
1,1171,0811,0451,00897293601/0101/0201/0301/0401/0501/0601/0701/0801/0901/1001/11
Speed

Statistics

Target Hit Rate
42%
Average Move
7%
Failure Rate
32%
Avg Formation Days
2 days
Volume Confirmation Boost
+8%

Reference values based on Bulkowski's "Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns". Data is primarily from U.S. markets and may differ for other markets.

A two-candlestick bearish continuation pattern appearing during a downtrend. After a large bearish candle, the second candle opens below the previous low but rallies only to the previous close level (at or below the low) before closing. Even weaker than the in neck line, showing sellers are completely in control. A highly reliable pattern for continued decline.

Formation Conditions

  • A preceding downtrend must be in place
  • The first candle must have a large bearish body
  • The second candle must open below the previous low (gap down)
  • The second candle closes as a bullish candle but at or near the previous close (at or below the low)
  • The second candle's close must not exceed the previous low

Entry Condition

After the on neck line is confirmed, enter short when the next candle opens as a bearish candle. Entering when price drops below the second candle's low is also valid.

Target Calculation

Project the first bearish candle's body length downward from the second candle's low. Or target the nearest support line.

Stop Loss Rule

Place a stop-loss slightly above the second candle's high. As with the in neck line, a tight stop is possible given the limited bounce.

Volume Profile

If the second bullish candle's volume is less than the first bearish candle's, it indicates virtually no buying pressure, enhancing reliability for continued decline.

False Signal Detection

  • If the close clearly exceeds the previous low, it becomes an in neck line rather than an on neck line
  • Less meaningful without a preceding downtrend
  • If the next candle does not confirm continued decline, the signal is negated
  • Near strong support lines, a bounce may develop
  • A significant volume surge on the second candle may indicate bottom accumulation

Related Indicators

RSI (oversold confirmation)MACDVolumeSupport line

Related Patterns

Bullish EngulfingBearish EngulfingDojiThree White Soldiers

Learn More

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