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Broadening Formation

Broadening Formation / Megaphone / Expanding Pattern

AdvancedReversal PatternsNeutralReliability 55%

Pattern Formation

61 / 61 candles
1,2581,1651,07197888479101/0101/0801/1501/2201/2902/0502/1202/1902/26
Speed

Statistics

Target Hit Rate
50%
Average Move
18%
Failure Rate
22%
Avg Formation Days
45 days
Volume Confirmation Boost
+12%

Reference values based on Bulkowski's "Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns". Data is primarily from U.S. markets and may differ for other markets.

A pattern where highs rise and lows fall, causing the price range to widen progressively. Also known as a megaphone pattern, it indicates increasing volatility. It reflects market uncertainty where participants hold divergent opinions. While generally considered a bearish signal, direction is neutral as upward breakouts are also possible.

Formation Conditions

  • At least two rising highs and two falling lows
  • Upper and lower trendlines must be diverging (expanding)
  • Each swing's amplitude must be greater than the previous one
  • Volatility must be gradually increasing
  • Must eventually produce a clear breakout in one direction

Entry Condition

Enter short on a clear downward breakout below the lower trendline. Enter long on an upward breakout above the upper trendline. It is safer to wait for confirmation of the breakout direction before entering.

Target Calculation

Project the maximum range within the pattern (difference between highest high and lowest low) from the breakout point to determine the price target. For example: if the highest high is 1220 and lowest low is 850, project 370 from the breakout point.

Stop Loss Rule

For short positions, place a stop-loss slightly above the most recent swing high. For long positions, place it slightly below the most recent swing low. Exit if price crosses the opposite trendline within the pattern.

Volume Profile

Volume tends to increase with each swing. Increased volume at breakout enhances reliability. Declining volume trends may indicate a false signal.

False Signal Detection

  • Broadening patterns have uncertain direction; always confirm the breakout direction before trading
  • Fewer than two swings make the pattern insufficient
  • Watch for "throwbacks" where price reverses immediately after breakout
  • Do not mistake a correction within a strong uptrend for a broadening formation
  • Breakouts without volume have a high probability of being false signals
  • Distinguish from temporary volatility expansion caused by news or events

Related Indicators

ATR (volatility confirmation)Bollinger BandsVolumeRSI

Related Patterns

Double TopDouble BottomHead and ShouldersInverse Head and Shoulders

Learn More

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