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Head and Shoulders

Head and Shoulders / Triple Top Formation

BeginnerReversal PatternsBearish (Down)Reliability 85%

Pattern Formation

73 / 73 candles
1,1581,1021,04799193688001/0101/1001/1901/2802/0602/1502/2403/0403/13
Speed

Statistics

Target Hit Rate
55%
Average Move
22%
Failure Rate
10%
Avg Formation Days
85 days
Volume Confirmation Boost
+18%

Reference values based on Bulkowski's "Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns". Data is primarily from U.S. markets and may differ for other markets.

A classic reversal pattern appearing at the top of an uptrend, composed of three peaks: the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder. The head is the highest, with the shoulders at approximately equal heights. The pattern is completed when the neckline is broken to the downside, signaling a trend reversal. Known in traditional Japanese technical analysis as 'Sanzon' (three peaks).

Formation Conditions

  • A clear uptrend must precede the pattern
  • Three peaks (left shoulder, head, right shoulder) must form
  • The head must be higher than both shoulders
  • The left and right shoulders should be at approximately the same height
  • Volume at the right shoulder should decrease compared to the left shoulder and head
  • Price must break below the neckline (line connecting troughs between peaks)

Entry Condition

Enter short when price clearly breaks below the neckline on a closing basis. For greater certainty, wait for a retest (pullback) to the neckline.

Target Calculation

Project the vertical distance from the head's high to the neckline downward from the neckline breakout point. For example: head at 1150, neckline at 975, range of 175, target at 800.

Stop Loss Rule

Place a stop-loss slightly above the right shoulder's high (1-3% above). After a neckline retest entry, it can be placed slightly above the neckline.

Volume Profile

Ideally, the left shoulder has the highest volume, decreasing at the head, and further decreasing at the right shoulder. A volume surge at the neckline breakdown enhances reliability.

False Signal Detection

  • If the right shoulder is higher than the head, it is not a head and shoulders
  • A steeply sloping neckline reduces reliability
  • A neckline breakdown without volume may be a false signal
  • Increasing volume during right shoulder formation may indicate uptrend continuation
  • Very short formation periods (within one week) have low reliability

Related Indicators

RSI (divergence confirmation)MACDVolumeMoving averages

Related Patterns

Double TopDouble BottomInverse Head and ShouldersTriple Top

Learn More

View in Cheatsheet →View Glossary →