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Double Top

Double Top / M Top

BeginnerReversal PatternsBearish (Down)Reliability 75%

Pattern Formation

66 / 66 candles
1,1251,0781,03298593989201/0101/0901/1701/2502/0202/1002/1802/2603/05
Speed

Statistics

Target Hit Rate
67%
Average Move
19%
Failure Rate
11%
Avg Formation Days
65 days
Volume Confirmation Boost
+15%

Reference values based on Bulkowski's "Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns". Data is primarily from U.S. markets and may differ for other markets.

A reversal pattern that forms two peaks at approximately the same price level near the end of an uptrend. The second peak fails to break above the first, and a downward break through the neckline completes the pattern. Its shape resembles the letter 'M'.

Formation Conditions

  • A clear uptrend must precede the pattern
  • The two highs must be at approximately the same price level (within 3% tolerance)
  • A valley (neckline) must exist between the two peaks
  • Volume at the second high should decrease compared to the first
  • Price must clearly break below the neckline

Entry Condition

Enter short when price clearly breaks below the neckline on a closing basis. Waiting for a retest (pullback to the neckline) provides greater certainty.

Target Calculation

Project the distance from the peaks to the neckline downward from the neckline breakout point. For example: peaks at 1100, neckline at 1000, target is 900.

Stop Loss Rule

Place a stop-loss slightly above the second peak's high (1-3% above). If entering after a neckline retest, it can also be placed slightly above the neckline.

Volume Profile

Ideally, high volume at the first peak, decreasing at the valley, and lower volume at the second peak compared to the first. A volume increase at the neckline breakdown enhances reliability.

False Signal Detection

  • If the two peaks differ significantly in height (over 5%), reliability is low as a double top
  • A neckline breakdown without volume may be a false signal
  • Do not mistake a minor pullback within a strong uptrend for a double top
  • If the interval between peaks is too short (within a few days), reliability is low
  • If price immediately rebounds after the neckline break, it may be a false breakout

Related Indicators

RSI (divergence confirmation)MACDVolumeBollinger Bands

Related Patterns

Double BottomHead and ShouldersInverse Head and ShouldersTriple Top

Learn More

View in Cheatsheet →View Glossary →