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Bump and Run Reversal Top

Bump and Run Reversal Top / BARR Top

AdvancedReversal PatternsBearish (Down)Reliability 65%

Pattern Formation

76 / 76 candles
1,2711,1791,08899790681401/0101/1001/1901/2802/0602/1502/2403/0403/13
Speed

Statistics

Target Hit Rate
63%
Average Move
22%
Failure Rate
15%
Avg Formation Days
75 days
Volume Confirmation Boost
+14%

Reference values based on Bulkowski's "Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns". Data is primarily from U.S. markets and may differ for other markets.

A pattern where price gradually rises along a gentle trendline (lead-in), then accelerates sharply upward (bump), and finally breaks below the lead-in trendline to decline (run). It indicates a sharp reversal after speculative buying becomes overheated. Ideally, the bump height should be at least twice the distance from the lead-in trendline.

Formation Conditions

  • A gradual uptrend (lead-in) must precede the pattern
  • The lead-in trendline angle should be approximately 30-45 degrees
  • The bump phase must show a steep increase in the angle of ascent (50 degrees or more)
  • The bump height should be at least twice the distance from the lead-in trendline
  • Price must break below the lead-in trendline

Entry Condition

Enter short when price clearly breaks below the lead-in trendline on a closing basis. Prepare as the bump slows and price approaches the trendline.

Target Calculation

Project the distance from the bump peak to the lead-in trendline downward from the trendline breakout point to determine the price target. Alternatively, the price level at the start of the lead-in is a reference.

Stop Loss Rule

Place a stop-loss slightly above the bump peak or above the most recent swing high. If price re-crosses above the trendline, consider the pattern invalid.

Volume Profile

Normal volume during the lead-in phase. Volume surges during the bump phase. Increased volume at the trendline break enhances pattern reliability.

False Signal Detection

  • If the lead-in period is too short (under one month), pattern reliability is low
  • If the bump height is insufficient, it may be a normal uptrend extension
  • Quick rebounds after the trendline break may indicate a false signal
  • If the bump angle is not significantly steeper than the lead-in, the pattern is insufficient
  • The pattern is less effective when supported by strong fundamentals

Related Indicators

RSI (overbought confirmation)MACDVolumeTrendline angle

Related Patterns

Double TopDouble BottomHead and ShouldersInverse Head and Shoulders

Learn More

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