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Rounding Bottom

Rounding Bottom / Saucer Bottom

AdvancedReversal PatternsBullish (Up)Reliability 68%

Pattern Formation

86 / 86 candles
1,1211,0761,03098593989401/0101/1101/2101/3102/1002/2003/0103/1103/21
Speed

Statistics

Target Hit Rate
61%
Average Move
17%
Failure Rate
16%
Avg Formation Days
115 days
Volume Confirmation Boost
+11%

Reference values based on Bulkowski's "Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns". Data is primarily from U.S. markets and may differ for other markets.

A long-term reversal pattern where price forms a gradual arc at the bottom. The downtrend's momentum gradually weakens, transitions through a sideways phase, and gently turns into an advance, creating a U-shape. Since it takes a long time to form, it is often observed on weekly or monthly charts and serves as the origin of a major uptrend.

Formation Conditions

  • A downtrend must precede the pattern
  • Price must form a gradual arc at the bottom
  • The angle of descent must gradually flatten
  • A sideways period near the bottom must exist
  • The angle of ascent must gradually steepen
  • Volume must reach its minimum near the bottom and increase during the advance

Entry Condition

Enter long when price breaks above the rounding bottom's resistance line (the price level at pattern start). Confirming volume increase is important.

Target Calculation

Project the pattern's depth (from the resistance line to the bottom) upward from the resistance line breakout point.

Stop Loss Rule

Place a stop-loss near the bottom or slightly below the resistance line. Adjust position size according to the pattern's scale.

Volume Profile

Volume gradually decreases during the declining phase, reaches its minimum at the bottom, gradually increases during the advancing phase, and surges at the resistance line breakout.

False Signal Detection

  • Too short a formation period reduces reliability
  • Volume not decreasing near the bottom requires caution
  • A resistance breakout without volume may be a false signal
  • Less effective in a broadly bearish market environment
  • A sharp V-shaped bottom is not a rounding bottom

Related Indicators

Moving averages (long-term)MACDVolumeOBV (On Balance Volume)

Related Patterns

Double TopDouble BottomHead and ShouldersInverse Head and Shoulders

Learn More

View in Cheatsheet →View Glossary →