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Rising Wedge

Rising Wedge / 上昇ウェッジ

IntermediateReversal PatternsBearish (Down)Reliability 72%

Pattern Formation

53 / 53 candles
1,0691,03499996392889301/0101/0701/1301/1901/2501/3102/0602/1202/18
Speed

Statistics

Target Hit Rate
62%
Average Move
17%
Failure Rate
15%
Avg Formation Days
50 days
Volume Confirmation Boost
+12%

Reference values based on Bulkowski's "Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns". Data is primarily from U.S. markets and may differ for other markets.

A pattern where both highs and lows rise, but the lower trendline rises more steeply, causing the two trendlines to converge upward. At the top of an uptrend, it functions as a reversal pattern; during a rally within a downtrend, it functions as a continuation pattern. In both cases, a downward breakout is expected.

Formation Conditions

  • Both highs and lows must be rising
  • Upper and lower trendlines must converge upward
  • The lower trendline's angle of ascent must be steeper than the upper
  • Each trendline must have at least two touches
  • Volume should decrease during formation

Entry Condition

Enter short when price clearly breaks below the lower trendline (support) on a closing basis. A more reliable approach is to wait for a retest after the breakout.

Target Calculation

Project the widest part of the wedge downward from the breakout point. Or target the price at the wedge formation's starting point.

Stop Loss Rule

Place a stop-loss slightly above the most recent high within the wedge.

Volume Profile

Volume typically decreases gradually during formation. A volume increase at the downward breakout enhances reliability, though downward breakouts can be valid even with low volume.

False Signal Detection

  • If convergence is too shallow, it may be indistinguishable from a channel
  • An upward breakout means pattern failure; stop-loss is necessary
  • During a strong uptrend, the rising wedge may not function
  • Too short a formation period reduces reliability

Related Indicators

RSI (divergence)MACDVolumeStochastics

Related Patterns

Double TopDouble BottomHead and ShouldersInverse Head and Shoulders

Learn More

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